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Den Bosch vs Maastricht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host Maastricht in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Den Bosch at 1.48 goals for, 1.69 against; Maastricht at 1.19 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Den Bosch have won 1 to Maastricht's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.94 - 1.50) back Den Bosch to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Den Bosch
15%
Draws
26%
Maastricht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Den Bosch come out ahead of Maastricht on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Den Bosch taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 16%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Maastricht
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Maastricht
1:2
Sep 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Den Bosch
2:4
Jan 18, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Den Bosch
5:0
Oct 30, 2024 KNVB Beker
Maastricht vs Den Bosch
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Maastricht
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 84 / 100
Maastricht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Maastricht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Bosch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Maastricht conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Den Bosch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Maastricht
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Maastricht

(Away)
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)