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Den Haag vs Groningen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Den Haag Logo

Den Haag

1 - 4
FT
Groningen Logo

Groningen

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
van Bergen T.
30' Event
Willumsson B.
Assist: Vaessen E.
45' Event
van der Werff D.
Assist: Land T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Groningen in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Groningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Den Haag
35%
Draws
46%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Groningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Groningen haven't matched Den Haag's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Den Haag taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Groningen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Groningen
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 25 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 3.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
1:4
Mar 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
0:2
Sep 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
0:1
Jan 26, 2021 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
3:0
Sep 20, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Haag Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bergen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willumsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 34 / 100
Groningen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).

Groningen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Den Haag went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Groningen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
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Groningen

(Away)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 PSV 8 6 1 1 26:10 19
3 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)