Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Den Haag vs Groningen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
van Bergen T.
30' Event
Willumsson B.
Assist: Vaessen E.
45' Event
van der Werff D.
Assist: Land T.

AI Match Summary

Groningen in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Groningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Den Haag
20%
Draws
47%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Groningen haven't matched Den Haag's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Groningen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 20%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Groningen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
1:4
Mar 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
0:2
Sep 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
0:1
Jan 26, 2021 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
3:0
Sep 20, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Haag Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bergen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willumsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 36 / 100
Groningen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Groningen has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Den Haag went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Groningen
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0
Den Haag
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0
Asteras Tripolis
24 Jul
Lommel SK
0 : 4
Den Haag
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Den Haag
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Groningen

(Away)
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1
Utrecht
01 Aug
Groningen
1 : 0
Valladolid
31 Jul
Groningen
1 : 3
Almere City
25 Jul
Groningen
0 : 0
Volos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 G.A. Eagles 3 2 1 0 9:4 7
3 Groningen 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Ajax 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 PSV 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
8 Sittard 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
12 Twente 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
13 Telstar 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
14 Zwolle 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
15 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
16 Willem II 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
17 Cambuur 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
18 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)