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Den Haag vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Trenskow J.
Assist: Rivera M.
46'
Sub
Bal J. In: van Mieghem D.
Out: Bal J.
51' Event
Meerveld R.
Assist: Braude O.

AI Match Summary

Heerenveen in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Den Haag
30%
Draws
47%
Heerenveen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Heerenveen haven't matched Den Haag's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Heerenveen a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Heerenveen
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.11 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Heerenveen
2:3
Mar 6, 2021 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Den Haag
3:0
Nov 28, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Heerenveen
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Den Haag
2:2
Nov 3, 2019 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Heerenveen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Haag Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Meerveld R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 18 / 100
Heerenveen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Heerenveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Den Haag scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Heerenveen conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Den Haag has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Heerenveen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
24 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 3
Heerenveen
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
11 Oct
Telstar
2 : 2
Den Haag
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
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Heerenveen

(Away)
24 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 3
Heerenveen
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 32:11 24
2 Ajax 10 6 3 1 29:13 21
3 PSV 10 6 2 2 28:13 20
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
6 Sittard 10 5 3 2 17:17 18
7 Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 18:13 15
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 17:18 11
13 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 10 0 2 8 10:32 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)