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Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Den Haag at 2.14 goals for, 1.11 against; Sparta Rotterdam at 1.61 for, 1.96 against. Past meetings favor Sparta Rotterdam slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.13) point toward Den Haag. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Den Haag
35%
Draws
32%
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Den Haag lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Den Haag are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sparta Rotterdam vs Den Haag
2:0
Mar 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Sparta Rotterdam vs Den Haag
1:1
Dec 20, 2023 KNVB Beker
Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:0
Aug 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 65 / 100
Sparta Rotterdam 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Haag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Den Haag has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Sparta Rotterdam
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
11 Oct
Telstar
2 : 2
Den Haag
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
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Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Willem II
10 Oct
G.A. Eagles
3 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 31:10 23
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 2 1 20:10 20
3 PSV 9 6 1 2 27:12 19
4 Ajax 9 5 3 1 27:12 18
5 Twente 9 5 2 2 17:10 17
6 Sittard 9 4 3 2 16:17 15
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 22:19 14
8 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
9 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
11 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
12 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 15:16 10
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 16:22 9
14 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 13:21 9
15 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Den Haag 9 1 3 5 11:20 6
17 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
18 Willem II 9 0 2 7 9:26 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)