Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024

Chirk AAA FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denbigh play Chirk AAA FC in the Cymru North 2023/2024. Denbigh are favorites here. Recently, Denbigh averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Chirk AAA FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, Denbigh won 4, Chirk AAA FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2024 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Denbigh and 1.50 for Chirk AAA FC. This points to a Denbigh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Denbigh

15%

Draws

17%

Chirk AAA FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Denbigh picked up more points recently compared to Chirk AAA FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Denbigh Clean Sheet 16%

Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Denbigh	Chirk AAA FC
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	4
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	22
Goals Scored	1.72	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2024 Cymru North

Denbigh vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

6:1

Aug 28, 2023 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Denbigh

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Jul 21, 2023 League Cup

Chirk AAA FC vs Denbigh

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Oct 4, 2008 FA Cup

Denbigh vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Lock J.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Worrall M.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mclaughlin M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 64 / 100

Chirk AAA FC 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Denbigh Chirk AAA FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (1)

Secondary Pick Denbigh & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Denbigh attacking → ← attacking Chirk AAA FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Chirk AAA FC let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Denbigh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chirk AAA FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 16

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Holywell Town FC	30	26	3	1	79:17	81
2	Flint Town	30	25	3	2	94:30	78
3	Airbus UK Broughton FC	30	23	5	2	84:28	74
4	Mold Alexandra	30	18	1	11	66:50	55
5	Bangor 1876	30	17	2	11	62:55	53
6	Denbigh	30	15	4	11	71:60	49
7	Ruthin Town	30	12	6	12	58:52	42
8	Guilsfield	30	11	7	12	48:46	40
9	Caersws FC	30	10	9	11	60:53	39
10	Gresford	30	10	7	13	47:54	37
11	Buckley	30	10	6	14	54:60	36
12	Llandudno FC	30	10	1	19	59:80	31
13	Prestatyn	30	7	5	18	39:74	23
14	Porthmadog	30	6	4	20	35:66	22
15	Chirk AAA FC	30	3	4	23	32:82	13
16	Llanidloes Town	30	2	3	25	25:106	9