Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-2, with Denbigh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Denbigh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Denbigh a 43% chance of winning this.
- Denbigh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Llangefni, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 16%
Llangefni Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Denbigh | Llangefni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 2.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Denbigh vs Llangefni
4:2
Oct 1, 2011 FAW Welsh Cup
Llangefni vs Denbigh
2:3
Oct 31, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Llangefni
0:2
Aug 26, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Llangefni vs Denbigh
2:1
Feb 14, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Llangefni
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Denbigh 66 / 100
Llangefni 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Denbigh Llangefni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denbigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llangefni has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Denbigh's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Llangefni's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Denbigh VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Denbigh
(Home) 02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4 Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3 Rhyl
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4 Holyhead
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3 Rhyl
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 4
Llangefni
(Away) 21 Jun
Holywell Town FC
6 : 4 Llangefni
19 Oct
Denbigh
4 : 2 Llangefni
21 Sept
Llangefni
7 : 1 Gaerwen
17 Sept
Llangefni
1 : 2 Llandudno Albion
23 Apr
Llandudno FC
6 : 1 Llangefni
Page 1 of 6
21 Jun
Holywell Town FC
6 : 4 Llangefni
19 Oct
Denbigh
4 : 2 Llangefni
23 Apr
Llandudno FC
6 : 1 Llangefni
02 Apr
Guilsfield
1 : 1 Llangefni
25 Feb
Buckley
1 : 1 Llangefni
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
