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Dender vs Lokeren

World World

Club Friendly 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mbayo D.
55' Event
Houdret K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2019 game between Dender and Lokeren finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Dender
15%
Draws
8%
Lokeren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Dender carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dender are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dender Clean Sheet 16%
Lokeren Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Lokeren
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2019 Club Friendly
Dender vs Lokeren
1:1
May 9, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Lokeren vs Dender
0:2
Dec 13, 2008 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Lokeren
1:1
Mar 15, 2008 Jupiler Pro League
Lokeren vs Dender
1:0
Oct 6, 2007 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Lokeren
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Houdret K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lokeren Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbayo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 39 / 100
Lokeren 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Lokeren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokeren has conceded goals in 96% of their last 24 outings.

Dender found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Dender remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
08 Aug
Dender
0 : 2
Knokke
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Lokeren

(Away)
28 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
22 Feb
KSV Roeselare
2 : 2
Lokeren
16 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Virton
12 Feb
Westerlo
3 : 2
Lokeren
01 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
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