Sport Picks
Dender vs OC Charleroi
Belgium
Belgian Cup Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw 
Match Events
9'
9'
Kvet R.
Penalty Missed
21'
21'
Corneillie V.
25'
25'
Kima Beyissa K.
AI Match Summary
Dender in this Belgian Cup tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dender
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dender lately — more wins on the board than OC Charleroi.
- Win probability leans Dender's way, sitting at 40%.
- Dender have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dender, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Dender Clean Sheet 68%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dender | OC Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025 Belgian Cup
Dender vs OC Charleroi
4:2
Mar 19, 2022 National Division 1
Dender vs OC Charleroi
3:1
Nov 6, 2021 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs Dender
2:2
Apr 17, 2021 National Division 1
Dender vs OC Charleroi
0:0
Nov 14, 2020 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs Dender
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dender Compare
Top Goalscorer Kadiri J. A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nsimba B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
OC Charleroi Compare
Top Goalscorer Corneillie V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dender 50 / 100
OC Charleroi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dender OC Charleroi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: OC Charleroi conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Dender scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
OC Charleroi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dender VS OC Charleroi
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dender
(Home) 23 May
Dender
0 : 0 Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2 Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1 Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1 RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1 Dender
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Dender
0 : 0 Lommel SK
03 May
Dender
2 : 1 RAAL La Louviere
19 Apr
Dender
1 : 4 Cercle Brugge
12 Apr
Dender
1 : 2 Waregem
22 Mar
Dender
1 : 3 Gent
Page 1 of 4
OC Charleroi
(Away) 28 Jun
Onhaye
1 : 5 OC Charleroi
17 Apr
Anderlecht U23
5 : 0 OC Charleroi
11 Apr
OC Charleroi
0 : 1 Lierse SK
05 Apr
RFC Liege
2 : 1 OC Charleroi
20 Mar
OC Charleroi
1 : 2 Genk U23
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Onhaye
1 : 5 OC Charleroi
17 Apr
Anderlecht U23
5 : 0 OC Charleroi
05 Apr
RFC Liege
2 : 1 OC Charleroi
14 Mar
Kortrijk
3 : 1 OC Charleroi
28 Feb
SK Beveren
2 : 0 OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
RFC Liege0
Charleroi1
KV Mechelen2
Lierse SK1
RFC Seraing1
Leuven3
Club Brugge6
Eendracht Aalst1
Dender4
OC Charleroi2
SK Beveren1
St. Liege2
Tubize-Braine0
Royale Union SG3
Belisia Bilzen1
Waregem4
Genk3
RWDM Brussels0
Ninove0
Anderlecht2
Cercle Brugge1
Kortrijk0
Gent5
Patro Eisden0
Antwerp3
Eupen1
Knokke0
St. Truiden1
Beerschot VA3
Westerlo2
Heist1
RAAL La Louviere2
1/8-finals
Charleroi2
KV Mechelen0
Leuven1
Club Brugge2
Dender3
St. Liege2
Royale Union SG2
Waregem1
Genk1
Anderlecht3
Cercle Brugge1
Gent3
Antwerp4
St. Truiden3
Beerschot VA1
RAAL La Louviere2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi2
Club Brugge0
Dender0
Royale Union SG2
Anderlecht1
Gent0
Antwerp2
RAAL La Louviere1
Semi-finals
Charleroi1
Royale Union SG4
Anderlecht4
Antwerp1
Final
Royale Union SG3
Anderlecht1