Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Afyonspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Mutlu A.
Assist: Bilici O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu and Afyonspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
22%
Draws
60%
Afyonspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu come out ahead of Afyonspor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Afyonspor's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 20%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Afyonspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Afyonspor
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutlu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Afyonspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 20 / 100
Afyonspor 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Afyonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afyonspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu VS Afyonspor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu

(Home)
18 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
3 : 3
Eskisehir Anadolu
12 Apr
Alanya 1221
0 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Balikesirspor
29 Mar
Kutahyaspor
1 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
25 Mar
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Afyonspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Afyonspor
4 : 1
Tire 2021 FK
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
02 Apr
Soke 1970
5 : 2
Afyonspor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)