Sport Picks
Denizlispor vs Erciyes 38
Turkey
3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu 
AI Match Summary
Denizlispor play Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Denizlispor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Erciyes 38 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Denizlispor won 1, Erciyes 38 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Denizlispor and 1.24 for Erciyes 38. This points to a Erciyes 38 double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Denizlispor picked up more points recently compared to Erciyes 38.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.24 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Denizlispor | Erciyes 38 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.28 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Denizlispor Compare
Erciyes 38 Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Denizlispor scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Erciyes 38 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Denizlispor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Erciyes 38 lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mardin 1969 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Sebat Spor Kulubu | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 73:28 | 67 |
| 3 | Agri 1970 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 58 |
| 4 | Zonguldak Komurspor | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 41:28 | 57 |
| 5 | K. Istklalspor | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 55:26 | 56 |
| 6 | Kirikkale FK | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Orduspor 1967 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 61:33 | 53 |
| 8 | Bursa Nilufer | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 9 | Erciyes 38 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:48 | 34 |
| 10 | 1926 Polatli Belediye | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37:58 | 29 |
| 11 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 41:58 | 28 |
| 12 | Nigde | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30:53 | 27 |
| 13 | Edirnespor Genclik | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28:62 | 22 |
| 14 | Tepecik | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 24:54 | 21 |
| 15 | Denizlispor | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 27:55 | 21 |
| 16 | Turgutlu | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:60 | 19 |