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Denmark U19 vs Italy U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mosconi M.
28'
Verde F.
30'
Bollini A.

AI Match Summary

Denmark U19 in this Euro U19 2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Denmark U19
15%
Draws
37%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Denmark U19 average 2.26 goals a game right now, well clear of Italy U19's 1.7.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy U19, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Italy U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Denmark U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.26 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Euro U19
Denmark U19 vs Italy U19
1:0
Oct 16, 2018 Euro U19
Denmark U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
Oct 13, 2013 Euro U19
Denmark U19 vs Italy U19
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U19 36 / 100
Italy U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Denmark U19 scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Denmark U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Italy U19 let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U19 VS Italy U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U19

(Home)
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
04 Jul
Denmark U19
3 : 0
Wales U19
01 Jul
Denmark U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
28 Jun
Germany U19
4 : 3
Denmark U19
31 Mar
Denmark U19
2 : 1
Czech Republic U19
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19

(Away)
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Denmark U19 1
Italy U19 0