Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U19 Nantporth Stadium

Italy U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denmark U19 play Italy U19 in the Euro U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Denmark U19 averaged 2.34 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Italy U19 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Denmark U19 won 0, Italy U19 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 16, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Denmark U19 and 1.63 for Italy U19. This points to a Italy U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Denmark U19

24%

Draws

38%

Italy U19

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Denmark U19 picked up more points recently compared to Italy U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Denmark U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Italy U19 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Denmark U19	Italy U19
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	14
Draws	4	10
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	2.34	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2018 Euro U19

Denmark U19 vs Italy U19

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Oct 13, 2013 Euro U19

Denmark U19 vs Italy U19

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U19 37 / 100

Italy U19 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Denmark U19 Italy U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U19 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Denmark U19 attacking → ← attacking Italy U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark U19 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Italy U19 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Denmark U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Italy U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 52

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50