Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark U20 vs Sweden U20

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Rafferty M.
46'
Sub
Olsson E. In: Amoran P.
Out: Olsson E.
46'
Sub
Lauritsen T. In: Andersen S.
Out: Lauritsen T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Denmark U20 and Sweden U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Denmark U20
15%
Draws
21%
Sweden U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Denmark U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Denmark U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Denmark U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Sweden U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U20 Sweden U20
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International
Sweden U20 vs Denmark U20
1:4
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Sweden U20 vs Denmark U20
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Friendly International
Denmark U20 vs Sweden U20
1:2
Nov 16, 2023 Friendly International
Denmark U20 vs Sweden U20
1:1
Oct 12, 2015 Friendly International
Denmark U20 vs Sweden U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sweden U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafferty M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omorowa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U20 84 / 100
Sweden U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U20 Sweden U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark U20's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sweden U20 conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Denmark U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U20 VS Sweden U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U20

(Home)
15 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 2
Denmark U20
13 Jun
Denmark U20
3 : 4
Saudi Arabia U23
10 Jun
Denmark U20
3 : 0
Japan U20
07 Jun
Denmark U20
2 : 0
Congo U20
04 Jun
Mexico U20
3 : 4
Denmark U20
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Sweden U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Sweden U20
1 : 4
Denmark U20
07 Sept
Sweden U20
0 : 1
Denmark U20
05 Sept
Sweden U20
0 : 4
Denmark U19
19 Nov
Denmark U20
1 : 2
Sweden U20
16 Nov
Denmark U20
1 : 1
Sweden U20
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