Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark vs Serbia

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gronbaek A.
Assist: Poulsen Y.
46'
Sub
Grujic M. In: Zivkovic A.
Out: Grujic M.
51'
Andersen J.

AI Match Summary

Denmark in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Denmark
15%
Draws
39%
Serbia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denmark lately — more wins on the board than Serbia.
  • Model gives Denmark a 46% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark Serbia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.73 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Denmark
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Serbia
2:0
Jun 25, 2024 Euro
Denmark vs Serbia
0:0
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
Denmark vs Serbia
3:0
Jun 13, 2015 Euro
Denmark vs Serbia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Gronbaek A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poulsen Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Serbia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark 95 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark Serbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Serbia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Denmark remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Serbia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Denmark VS Serbia
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark

(Home)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
Page 1 of 6

Serbia

(Away)
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0
Serbia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 2 0 13:5 14
2 Croatia 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Scotland 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Poland 6 1 1 4 9:16 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
2 Italy 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Belgium 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 Israel 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 4 2 0 18:4 14
2 Netherlands 6 2 3 1 13:7 9
3 Hungary 6 1 3 2 4:11 6
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 13:4 16
2 Denmark 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Serbia 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Switzerland 6 0 2 4 6:14 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)