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Denmark vs Wales - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Denmark Logo

Denmark

2 - 0
FT
Wales Logo

Wales

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Isaksen G.
30'
Sub
Dorgu P. In: Daramy M.
Out: Dorgu P.
35'
Maehle J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Denmark and Wales finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Denmark
15%
Draws
21%
Wales
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Denmark carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Denmark taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Denmark have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Denmark Clean Sheet 12%
Wales Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark Wales
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Denmark
0:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Wales
2:0
Jun 26, 2021 Euro
Wales vs Denmark
0:4
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Denmark
1:2
Sep 9, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Wales
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaksen G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Wales Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark 74 / 100
Wales 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark Wales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Wales has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Denmark has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denmark VS Wales
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark

(Home)
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1
Denmark
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4
Portugal
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
Page 1 of 7

Wales

(Away)
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1
Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)