Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Centennial Stadium
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denver Summit W host Portland Thorns FC W in the NWSL Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Denver Summit W have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Portland Thorns FC W's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Denver Summit W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.69, favoring Portland Thorns FC W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Denver Summit W
20%
Draws
38%
Portland Thorns FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Denver Summit W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 13%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denver Summit W Portland Thorns FC W
Matches Played 15 32
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Denver Summit W
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Denver Summit W
1-0
Jan 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denver Summit W 40 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denver Summit W Portland Thorns FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denver Summit W scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Portland Thorns FC W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Denver Summit W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Denver Summit W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1483316:827
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1344519:1816
12Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
13Houston Dash W1443717:2315
14Bay FC W1343613:1915
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267