Sport Picks
Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Centennial Stadium, Centennial, CO 
Match Events
25'
25'
Wilson S.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Sonis J.
53'
53'
Muller M.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Denver Summit W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denver Summit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denver Summit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 15%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Denver Summit W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Denver Summit W
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Denver Summit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sonis J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Means N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Denver Summit W 30 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Denver Summit W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Denver Summit W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Portland Thorns FC W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Denver Summit W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Denver Summit W VS Portland Thorns FC W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Denver Summit W
(Home) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0 Gotham FC W
30 Aug
Denver Summit W
6 : 1 Chicago Stars W
09 Aug
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 3
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
29 Aug
Gotham FC W
1 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
09 Aug
Boston Legacy W
3 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
02 Aug
Utah Royals W
5 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
