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Denver Summit W vs Racing Louisville W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Centennial Stadium, Centennial, CO
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denver Summit W host Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Denver Summit W at 1.79 goals for, 1.34 against; Racing Louisville W at 1.32 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Denver Summit W slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.13 - 1.50) back Denver Summit W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Denver Summit W
30%
Draws
8%
Racing Louisville W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denver Summit W lately — more wins on the board than Racing Louisville W.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Denver Summit W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 16%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denver Summit W Racing Louisville W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Denver Summit W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denver Summit W 84 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denver Summit W Racing Louisville W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Louisville W has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Denver Summit W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Denver Summit W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Racing Louisville W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Denver Summit W VS Racing Louisville W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Denver Summit W

(Home)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6

Racing Louisville W

(Away)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Angel City W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)