Sport Picks

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Dep. A Coruna vs Elche

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna host Elche in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Elche have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Dep. A Coruna have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Elche slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2025, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward Dep. A Coruna. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dep. A Coruna
28%
Draws
22%
Elche
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dep. A Coruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Elche haven't matched Dep. A Coruna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dep. A Coruna's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 68%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Elche
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0
Jun 23, 2020 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:1
Nov 10, 2019 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
1:3
Jun 4, 2019 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 59 / 100
Elche 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Elche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Elche let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Dep. A Coruna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Elche
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
25 Jul
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
31 May
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 2
Las Palmas
24 May
Valladolid
0 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
17 May
Dep. A Coruna
2 : 1
FC Andorra
Page 1 of 6

Elche

(Away)
24 Jul
Elche
0 : 0
Johor DT
18 Jul
Elche
2 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
17 May
Elche
1 : 0
Getafe
12 May
Betis
2 : 1
Elche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad00000:00
2Elche00000:00
3Alaves00000:00
4Celta Vigo00000:00
5Malaga00000:00
6Rayo Vallecano00000:00
7Real Madrid00000:00
8Villarreal00000:00
9Barcelona00000:00
10Atl. Madrid00000:00
11Sevilla00000:00
12Racing Santander00000:00
13Dep. A Coruna00000:00
14Valencia00000:00
15Ath Bilbao00000:00
16Espanyol00000:00
17Betis00000:00
18Getafe00000:00
19Osasuna00000:00
20Levante00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)