Sport Picks

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Dep. A Coruna vs Elche

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna host Elche in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Elche have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Dep. A Coruna have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Elche slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2025, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.94) point toward Dep. A Coruna. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dep. A Coruna
35%
Draws
28%
Elche
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. A Coruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Elche haven't matched Dep. A Coruna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dep. A Coruna's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 20%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Elche
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0
Jun 23, 2020 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:1
Nov 10, 2019 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
1:3
Jun 4, 2019 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 42 / 100
Elche 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Elche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dep. A Coruna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Elche's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Elche
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
06 Aug
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
01 Aug
St. Pauli
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
29 Jul
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 0
Lugo
25 Jul
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

Elche

(Away)
31 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Cordoba
28 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Al Ain
24 Jul
Elche
0 : 0
Johor DT
18 Jul
Elche
2 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Elche 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Alaves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Celta Vigo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Malaga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Rayo Vallecano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Real Madrid 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Villarreal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Barcelona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Atl. Madrid 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Sevilla 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Racing Santander 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Dep. A Coruna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Valencia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Ath Bilbao 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Espanyol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Betis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Osasuna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Levante 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)