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Dep. A Coruna vs Elche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Aubameyang P.
Assist: Amatucci L.
26'
Navarro X.
45'
Amatucci L.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Dep. A Coruna and Elche finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Dep. A Coruna
35%
Draws
55%
Elche
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna haven't matched Elche's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Elche's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 12%
Elche Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Elche
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0
Jun 23, 2020 LaLiga2
Elche vs Dep. A Coruna
0:1
Nov 10, 2019 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Elche
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Aubameyang P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 10 / 100
Elche 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Elche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elche Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Elche let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Dep. A Coruna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Elche
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
24 Oct
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Dep. A Coruna
16 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Levante
11 Oct
Real Sociedad
3 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

Elche

(Away)
27 Oct
Pinatar
1 : 3
Elche
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3
Elche
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0
Elche
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40:11 27
2 Atl. Madrid 10 8 1 1 20:8 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25:10 24
4 Betis 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19:18 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16:16 17
7 Alaves 10 3 3 4 14:11 12
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 3 3 12:9 12
9 Celta Vigo 10 2 6 2 10:7 12
10 Villarreal 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
11 Dep. A Coruna 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
13 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15:26 11
14 Levante 10 2 4 4 16:19 10
15 Elche 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
16 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12:20 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5:15 9
18 Espanyol 10 2 2 6 12:14 8
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
20 Malaga 10 0 5 5 7:19 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)