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Dep. A Coruna vs FC Porto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Asp J.
46'
Sub
William Gomes In: Gabriel Mec
Out: William Gomes
46'
Sub
Omorodion S. In: Silva An.
Out: Omorodion S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dep. A Coruna and FC Porto finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Dep. A Coruna
30%
Draws
56%
FC Porto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Porto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Porto are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Porto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 11%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna FC Porto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 12 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.46 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. A Coruna vs FC Porto
1:3
Jul 30, 2017 Club Friendly
FC Porto vs Dep. A Coruna
4:0
May 4, 2004 Champions League
Dep. A Coruna vs FC Porto
0:1
Apr 21, 2004 Champions League
FC Porto vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Asp J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Porto Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva An.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sainz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 10 / 100
FC Porto 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna FC Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Porto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Dep. A Coruna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS FC Porto
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
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FC Porto

(Away)
10 Oct
Maritimo
1 : 2
FC Porto
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2
Manchester City
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