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Dep. A Coruna vs Real Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Carrillo N. In: Villares Yanez D.
Out: Carrillo N.
29'
Rudiger A.
45' Event
Diaz B.
Assist: Lunin A.

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dep. A Coruna
30%
Draws
52%
Real Madrid
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Dep. A Coruna.
  • Real Madrid are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Madrid here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Real Madrid
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 19
Draws 12 3
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.46 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. A Coruna vs Real Madrid
0:1
Jan 21, 2018 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Dep. A Coruna
7:1
Aug 20, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Real Madrid
0:3
Apr 26, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Real Madrid
2:6
Dec 10, 2016 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Dep. A Coruna
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 18 / 100
Real Madrid 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Real Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Real Madrid let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Dep. A Coruna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Real Madrid
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
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Real Madrid

(Away)
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
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