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Dep. A Coruna W vs Alaves W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna W host Alaves W in the Liga F Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Alaves W have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Dep. A Coruna W have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Dep. A Coruna W slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2024, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.75) point toward Alaves W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dep. A Coruna W
20%
Draws
30%
Alaves W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. A Coruna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna W haven't matched Alaves W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dep. A Coruna W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dep. A Coruna W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Dep. A Coruna W Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna W Alaves W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs Dep. A Coruna W
0:2
Nov 12, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Alaves W
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Alaves W
2:0
Feb 17, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Alaves W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna W 85 / 100
Alaves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna W Alaves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. A Coruna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Dep. A Coruna W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alaves W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna W VS Alaves W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna W

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 1
Espanyol W
20 Sept
Granada CF W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
11 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
06 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna W
Page 1 of 6

Alaves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
7 Granada CF W 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
8 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
9 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
10 Badalona W 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
11 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 Logrono W 7 2 0 5 7:10 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)