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Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Sociedad W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Riazor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna W play Real Sociedad W in the Liga F Women 2025/2026. Real Sociedad W are favorites here. Recently, Dep. A Coruna W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Real Sociedad W averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. A Coruna W won 1, Real Sociedad W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Dep. A Coruna W and 1.63 for Real Sociedad W. This points to a Real Sociedad W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dep. A Coruna W
15%
Draws
58%
Real Sociedad W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Sociedad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna W picked up more points recently compared to Real Sociedad W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Dep. A Coruna W Clean Sheet 14%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna W Real Sociedad W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Sociedad W
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Sociedad W
1:4
Dec 14, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Dep. A Coruna W
3:0
Feb 8, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Dep. A Coruna W
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Copa de la Reina Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Sociedad W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Latorre B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Sociedad W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna W 27 / 100
Real Sociedad W 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna W Real Sociedad W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Real Sociedad W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. A Coruna W attacking → ← attacking Real Sociedad W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Real Sociedad W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dep. A Coruna W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Real Sociedad W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 65
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629