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Dep. Azogues vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dep. Azogues
39%
Draws
30%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Azogues have won more games recently than Guayaquil City.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dep. Azogues Clean Sheet 20%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Azogues Guayaquil City
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2014 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Guayaquil City
1:1
Aug 29, 2014 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Dep. Azogues
2:0
May 10, 2014 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Dep. Azogues
3:1
May 3, 2014 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Guayaquil City
0:0
Nov 17, 2013 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Guayaquil City
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Azogues 32 / 100
Guayaquil City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Azogues Guayaquil City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Azogues scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Guayaquil City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dep. Azogues remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guayaquil City
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aucas442411964:3383
2Guayaquil City4422121062:4578
3Tecnico U.442381370:4277
4LDU Portoviejo442291367:4875
5Macara4417111649:4162
6Deportivo Quevedo4416111752:6259
7Dep. Azogues4413171446:4756
8Delfin4415101943:4955
9Espoli4412151750:5650
10Imbabura4412122040:5848
11Univ. Cotopaxi441392257:7748
12Deportivo Municipal447112641:8332