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Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Dep. Cali W Logo

Dep. Cali W

4 - 0
FT
Atl. Nacional W Logo

Atl. Nacional W

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Vidal K.
39' Event
Guerra I.
45' Event
Guerra I.
Assist: Castellanos D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dep. Cali W
15%
Draws
28%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dep. Cali W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Dep. Cali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dep. Cali W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 22 19
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
4:0
Sep 16, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aponza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Atl. Nacional W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional W conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cali W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Atl. Nacional W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7

Atl. Nacional W

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millonarios W 3
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 6
Atl. Nacional W 1
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 7