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Dep. Cali W vs Club Nacional W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Dep. Cali W go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Dep. Cali W at 1.86 goals for, 0.69 against; Club Nacional W at 1.13 for, 3 against. Past meetings favor Dep. Cali W slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 0.88) point toward Dep. Cali W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Dep. Cali W
20%
Draws
11%
Club Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W have won more games recently than Club Nacional W.
  • Dep. Cali W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Dep. Cali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Club Nacional W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 20%
Club Nacional W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Club Nacional W
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 20 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.69 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2025 Copa Libertadores Women
Dep. Cali W vs Club Nacional W
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 Copa Libertadores Women
Dep. Cali W vs Club Nacional W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 85 / 100
Club Nacional W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Club Nacional W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Club Nacional W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dep. Cali W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Club Nacional W W
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 6

Club Nacional W

(Away)
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
Club Nacional W W
06 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Club Nacional W W
03 Oct
Club Nacional W W
0 : 0
U. De Chile W
12 Oct
America de Cali W
4 : 0
Club Nacional W W
09 Oct
Boca Juniors W
5 : 1
Club Nacional W W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)