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Dep. Cali W vs Independiente del Valle W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2024 Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W play Independiente del Valle W in the Copa Libertadores Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cali W averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. Independiente del Valle W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cali W won 0, Independiente del Valle W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Dep. Cali W and 1.44 for Independiente del Valle W. This points to a Dep. Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dep. Cali W
20%
Draws
34%
Independiente del Valle W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W picked up more points recently compared to Independiente del Valle W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Independiente del Valle W
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 18 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.58 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Copa Libertadores Women
Dep. Cali W vs Independiente del Valle W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Independiente del Valle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 45 / 100
Independiente del Valle W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Independiente del Valle W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dep. Cali W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Cali W attacking → ← attacking Independiente del Valle W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Independiente del Valle W let in goals in 62% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dep. Cali W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Independiente del Valle W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 17
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50