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Dep. Cali W vs Libertad Limpeno W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W play Libertad Limpeno W in the Copa Libertadores Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cali W averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. Libertad Limpeno W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cali W won 0, Libertad Limpeno W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 3, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.98 for Dep. Cali W and 0.75 for Libertad Limpeno W. This points to a Dep. Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dep. Cali W
24%
Draws
27%
Libertad Limpeno W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W picked up more points recently compared to Libertad Limpeno W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.98 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 27%
Libertad Limpeno W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Libertad Limpeno W
Matches Played 40 27
Wins 26 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Copa Libertadores Women
Dep. Cali W vs Libertad Limpeno W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Libertad Limpeno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamay L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 50 / 100
Libertad Limpeno W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Libertad Limpeno W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dep. Cali W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Cali W attacking → ← attacking Libertad Limpeno W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Libertad Limpeno W let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dep. Cali W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Libertad Limpeno W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

87 Points in last 5 34
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W321013:17
2Independiente del Valle W32107:17
3Indep. Santa Fe W31027:23
4Always Ready W30030:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria W32103:17
2Boca Juniors W31202:05
3A. Lima W30212:32
4ADIFFEM W30121:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W33004:09
2Sao Paulo W32013:16
3San Lorenzo W31021:33
4Olimpia Asuncion W30030:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali W32104:17
2Libertad Limpeno W30301:13
3Club Nacional de Football W30210:12
4U. De Chile W30210:22