Sport Picks

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Dep. Cuenca vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

0 - 1
FT
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lopez A.
Own Goal
11'
Piedra M.
33'
Garcia B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dep. Cuenca
15%
Draws
59%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Aucas have won more games recently than Dep. Cuenca.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 17%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Aucas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Aucas
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Dep. Cuenca
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Dep. Cuenca
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Aucas
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Aucas vs Dep. Cuenca
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 31 / 100
Aucas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Aucas let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Dep. Cuenca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Aucas
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
26 Aug
LDU Quito
1 : 0
Aucas
23 Aug
Delfin
0 : 1
Aucas
17 Aug
Aucas
0 : 1
LDU Quito
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 Aucas 26 13 5 8 30:26 44
3 U. Catolica 26 12 7 7 45:23 43
4 Macara 26 12 6 8 33:26 42
5 LDU Quito 26 12 5 9 26:20 41
6 Barcelona SC 26 10 9 7 28:20 39
7 Libertad 26 10 7 9 29:29 37
8 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Guayaquil City 26 8 9 9 25:29 33
11 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
12 Emelec 26 8 8 10 21:31 32
13 Orense 26 8 6 12 30:39 30
14 Tecnico U. 26 8 2 16 23:37 26
15 Delfin 26 6 6 14 17:28 24
16 Manta 26 4 5 17 12:37 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
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