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Dep. Cuenca vs Orense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Orense Logo

Orense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca host Orense in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dep. Cuenca at 0.69 goals for, 1.28 against; Orense at 1.11 for, 1.54 against. Past meetings favor Orense slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Orense. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dep. Cuenca
35%
Draws
26%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Cuenca haven't matched Orense's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 19%
Orense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Orense
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.69 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
0:0
Aug 16, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 31 / 100
Orense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cuenca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orense conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Dep. Cuenca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Orense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Orense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
16 Oct
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Tecnico U.
11 Oct
Orense
0 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
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Orense

(Away)
11 Oct
Orense
0 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Dep. Cuenca 33 11 8 14 28:39 41
12 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
13 Delfin 33 9 8 16 27:36 35
14 Orense 32 9 7 16 37:49 34
15 Tecnico U. 33 10 3 20 30:46 33
16 Manta 33 7 6 20 22:47 27
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)