Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca

Dep. Cuenca

0 - 0

San Lorenzo

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Boolsen P.

40'

Rattalino J.

46'

Sub

Rattalino J. In: Gulli F.

Out: Rattalino J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Dep. Cuenca

35%

Draws

40%

San Lorenzo

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and San Lorenzo come out ahead of Dep. Cuenca on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
San Lorenzo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 26%

San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Cuenca	San Lorenzo
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	8
Draws	7	12
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0.69	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Dep. Cuenca vs San Lorenzo

0:0

Apr 17, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

San Lorenzo vs Dep. Cuenca

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 38 / 100

San Lorenzo 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Cuenca San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Cuenca scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: San Lorenzo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS San Lorenzo

0.63 Goals Scored 0.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 13%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)

13 Sept

LDU Quito

1 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

07 Sept

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 1

Libertad

02 Sept

Dep. Cuenca

1 : 0

Guayaquil City

29 Aug

Tecnico U.

3 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

22 Aug

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 0

Mushuc Runa

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San Lorenzo

(Away)

13 Sept

Independiente

1 : 1

San Lorenzo

05 Sept

San Lorenzo

1 : 0

Talleres Cordoba

01 Sept

Instituto

1 : 0

San Lorenzo

21 Aug

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

0 : 0

San Lorenzo

15 Aug

San Lorenzo

1 : 0

Union de Santa Fe

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