Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca

Dep. Cuenca

1 - 0

Santos

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Moises In: Rollheiser B.

Out: Moises

46'

Sub

Diaz M. In: Garcia B.

Out: Diaz M.

60'

Mancinelli L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Dep. Cuenca

30%

Draws

47%

Santos

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Santos come out ahead of Dep. Cuenca on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Dep. Cuenca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%

Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Cuenca	Santos
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	14
Draws	7	10
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	0.69	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.69	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs Dep. Cuenca

3:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Dep. Cuenca vs Santos

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancinelli L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.53

Avg xA / game 0.34

Santos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 36 / 100

Santos 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Cuenca Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santos conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Dep. Cuenca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Cuenca's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Santos

0.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)

13 Sept

LDU Quito

1 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

07 Sept

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 1

Libertad

02 Sept

Dep. Cuenca

1 : 0

Guayaquil City

29 Aug

Tecnico U.

3 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

22 Aug

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 0

Mushuc Runa

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Santos

(Away)

16 Sept

Atletico-MG

5 : 2

Santos

13 Sept

Santos

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

09 Sept

Santos

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

06 Sept

Internacional

2 : 3

Santos

03 Sept

Santos

0 : 0

Palmeiras

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