Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar

Tecnico U.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca play Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cuenca averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Tecnico U. averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cuenca won 3, Tecnico U. won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Dep. Cuenca and 1.19 for Tecnico U.. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Dep. Cuenca

19%

Draws

27%

Tecnico U.

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Dep. Cuenca picked up more points recently compared to Tecnico U..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%

Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Cuenca	Tecnico U.
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	15	8
Draws	7	4
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	1.16	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Pro

Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

May 17, 2025 Liga Pro

Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Oct 5, 2024 Liga Pro

Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 18, 2024 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Anaya J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 53 / 100

Tecnico U. 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Cuenca Tecnico U.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cuenca Win (1)

Secondary Pick Dep. Cuenca & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Cuenca attacking → ← attacking Tecnico U.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tecnico U. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 28

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	37
2	LDU Quito	16	8	3	5	19:13	27
3	Dep. Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	27
4	U. Catolica	16	7	5	4	26:14	26
5	Barcelona SC	16	7	5	4	18:13	26
6	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	26
7	Orense	16	6	4	6	21:22	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	22
9	Tecnico U.	16	6	2	8	17:16	20
10	Macara	16	5	5	6	15:18	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	12