Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Klimowicz M.
Assist: Gonzalez D.
27'
Gonzalez D.
34' Event
Anaya J.
Assist: Castano M.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cuenca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dep. Cuenca
20%
Draws
44%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tecnico U. lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cuenca.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Tecnico U.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.7 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
0:2
May 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Anaya J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 32 / 100
Tecnico U. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Tecnico U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tecnico U. conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Dep. Cuenca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Tecnico U. has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Tecnico U.
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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Tecnico U.

(Away)
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
22 Aug
Tecnico U.
2 : 3
Guayaquil City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
3 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
4 U. Catolica 29 13 9 7 49:26 48
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 29 9 6 14 35:45 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)