Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires

Dep. Merlo

3 - 2

Deportivo Armenio

Our Tip

Match Events

Sandoval I.

19'

Gomez C.

22'

Palma L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Merlo in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Merlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Dep. Merlo

22%

Draws

60%

Deportivo Armenio

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportivo Armenio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo Armenio average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Dep. Merlo's 1.25.
Deportivo Armenio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 10%

Deportivo Armenio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Merlo	Deportivo Armenio
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	10	8
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera B

Dep. Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio

3:2

Jun 28, 2025 Primera B

Dep. Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio

0:1

Feb 8, 2025 Primera B

Deportivo Armenio vs Dep. Merlo

3:0

Jun 29, 2024 Primera B

Dep. Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio

2:2

Feb 10, 2024 Primera B

Deportivo Armenio vs Dep. Merlo

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Maguicha D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportivo Armenio Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchesini F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Figueroa G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 18 / 100

Deportivo Armenio 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Merlo Deportivo Armenio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Merlo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Deportivo Armenio has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Merlo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo VS Deportivo Armenio

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Merlo

(Home)

18 Jul

CSD Liniers

1 : 1

Dep. Merlo

14 Jul

Dep. Merlo

3 : 2

Real Pilar

10 Jul

UAI Urquiza

0 : 0

Dep. Merlo

04 Jul

Dep. Merlo

1 : 2

Villa Dalmine

27 Jun

Excursionistas

5 : 0

Dep. Merlo

Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Armenio

(Away)

18 Jul

Argentino de Merlo

2 : 2

Deportivo Armenio

14 Jul

Deportivo Armenio

2 : 1

Talleres Remedios Escalada

10 Jul

Laferrere

1 : 1

Deportivo Armenio

04 Jul

Deportivo Armenio

0 : 0

Brown Adrogue

27 Jun

Deportivo Armenio

2 : 1

Ituzaingo

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Sarandi	26	14	8	4	37:19	50
2	Excursionistas	26	14	7	5	37:17	49
3	Talleres Remedios Escalada	26	14	7	5	29:13	49
4	Villa Dalmine	26	13	9	4	30:14	48
5	Deportivo Camioneros	26	13	8	5	31:17	47
6	Sportivo Italiano	26	12	8	6	27:21	44
7	Comunicaciones	26	10	8	8	30:26	38
8	Laferrere	26	10	8	8	29:30	38
9	Real Pilar	26	10	7	9	29:29	37
10	Deportivo Armenio	26	10	7	9	30:31	37
11	Dep. Merlo	26	9	9	8	31:38	36
12	San Martin Burzaco	26	8	11	7	26:23	35
13	Argentino de Merlo	26	9	8	9	26:24	35
14	Dock Sud	26	7	10	9	26:24	31
15	Argentino de Quilmes	26	7	10	9	25:28	31
16	CSD Liniers	26	6	9	11	17:26	27
17	Flandria	26	7	5	14	20:32	26
18	Defensores Unidos	26	5	10	11	20:29	25
19	UAI Urquiza	26	3	15	8	12:22	24
20	Brown Adrogue	26	5	9	12	16:29	24
21	Villa San Carlos	26	4	10	12	24:33	22
22	Ituzaingo	26	1	7	18	18:45	10

Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)

Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)

Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)