Sport Picks
Dep. Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto 
Match Events
10'
10'
Obregon J.
Assist: Cordoba S.
16'
16'
Ricaurte A.
25'
25'
Roa J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Dep. Pasto and Aguilas Doradas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas Doradas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Pasto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dep. Pasto come out ahead of Aguilas Doradas on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 17%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Pasto | Aguilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pasto
1:2
Oct 13, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pasto
2:2
Apr 22, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas
1:0
Oct 29, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Pasto Compare
Top Goalscorer Obregon J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Aguilas Doradas Compare
Top Goalscorer Mena J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vasquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Pasto 36 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Pasto Aguilas Doradas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aguilas Doradas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aguilas Doradas conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Dep. Pasto found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Pasto VS Aguilas Doradas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Pasto
(Home) 04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
31 Aug
Dep. Pasto
1 : 2 Dep. Pereira
23 Aug
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1 Llaneros
Page 1 of 3
Aguilas Doradas
(Away) 09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
