Sport Picks
Dep. Pasto vs Atl. Nacional
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Atl. Nacional in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Atl. Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pasto.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Atl. Nacional have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Pasto | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.57 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Pasto Compare
Atl. Nacional Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Pasto's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |