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Dep. Pasto vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Preciado P. In: Pisano M.
Out: Preciado P.
46'
Sub
Mejia B. In: Pico L.
Out: Mejia B.
57'
Sub
Vazquez M. In: Salas J.
Out: Vazquez M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pasto and Fortaleza C.E.I.F. finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dep. Pasto
35%
Draws
24%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Pasto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Pasto come out ahead of Fortaleza C.E.I.F. on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dep. Pasto a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 18%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:0
Mar 25, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Dep. Pasto
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Dep. Pasto
2:0
May 4, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Dep. Pasto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 36 / 100
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto

(Home)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
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Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Away)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)