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Stadium Background

Dep. Pasto vs Jaguares de Cordoba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pasto host Jaguares de Cordoba in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dep. Pasto at 0.96 goals for, 1.52 against; Jaguares de Cordoba at 1.11 for, 1.68 against. Head-to-head, Dep. Pasto have won 2 to Jaguares de Cordoba's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.56) point toward Dep. Pasto. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dep. Pasto
15%
Draws
36%
Jaguares de Cordoba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Pasto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto have won more games recently than Jaguares de Cordoba.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 15%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto Jaguares de Cordoba
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.96 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Dep. Pasto
2:3
Aug 3, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Feb 5, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:1
Oct 20, 2023 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Dep. Pasto
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 31 / 100
Jaguares de Cordoba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto Jaguares de Cordoba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares de Cordoba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Jaguares de Cordoba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dep. Pasto's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS Jaguares de Cordoba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto

(Home)
23 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Alianza
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Away)
22 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
17 Oct
Millonarios
4 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Oct
Jaguares de Cordoba
3 : 2
Deportes Tolima
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 15 10 2 3 30:13 32
2 America De Cali 15 9 4 2 29:11 31
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 14 6 7 1 22:13 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 15 7 2 6 22:21 23
8 Once Caldas 16 5 6 5 20:18 21
9 Cucuta 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Deportes Tolima 15 5 5 5 18:18 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 15 4 7 4 19:20 19
12 Alianza 15 5 3 7 16:26 18
13 Inter Bogotá 16 3 8 5 18:22 17
14 Llaneros 15 5 2 8 16:20 17
15 Junior 15 3 6 6 20:23 15
16 Chico 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 15 1 9 5 16:22 12
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 14 2 4 8 16:28 10
20 Dep. Pasto 14 2 3 9 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)