Sport Picks

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Dep. Pasto W vs Chico W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pasto W play Chico W in the Liga Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Pasto W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Chico W averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Pasto W won 0, Chico W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Dep. Pasto W and 1.06 for Chico W. This points to a Chico W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dep. Pasto W
35%
Draws
37%
Chico W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto W picked up more points recently compared to Chico W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 22%
Chico W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto W Chico W
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 6 4
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.03 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Chico W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaves D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto W 30 / 100
Chico W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto W Chico W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chico W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Pasto W attacking → ← attacking Chico W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Chico W let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dep. Pasto W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Chico W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 20
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America de Cali W16131243:840
2Indep. Santa Fe W16105133:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1686228:930
4Deportivo Pereira W1685328:2029
5Dep. Cali W1676324:1827
6Ind. Medellin W1683525:2027
7Inter Palmira W1674520:1325
8Inter Bogotá W1672728:2023
9Llaneros W1671821:2322
10Millonarios W1664623:2122
11Junior W1656517:1221
12Chico W1648413:1520
13Huila W1655615:2120
14Real Santander W1634913:2913
15Dep. Pasto W16331011:3412
16Bucaramanga W1613129:416
17Deportes Tolima W16021411:462