Sport Picks
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto 
Match Events
27'
27'
Romero K.
Assist: Chaves D.
30'
30'
Paez Zea K. S.
Assist: Romero K.
34'
34'
Ruiz N.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Dep. Pasto W and Once Caldas W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Pasto W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Pasto W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dep. Pasto W come out ahead of Once Caldas W on wins alone.
- Model gives Dep. Pasto W a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Pasto W | Once Caldas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W
4:1
May 4, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Pasto W Compare
Top Goalscorer Romero K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Paez Zea K. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Once Caldas W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Pasto W 36 / 100
Once Caldas W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Pasto W Once Caldas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Dep. Pasto W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Once Caldas W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Dep. Pasto W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Pasto W VS Once Caldas W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Pasto W
(Home) 20 Aug
Orsomarso W
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
02 Aug
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
26 Apr
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0 Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 3
Once Caldas W
(Away) 20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Once Caldas W
28 Apr
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 0 Once Caldas W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
