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Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pasto W host Once Caldas W in the Liga Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dep. Pasto W have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Once Caldas W's 0.5 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Dep. Pasto W slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Dep. Pasto W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Dep. Pasto W
17%
Draws
70%
Once Caldas W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Once Caldas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Pasto W come out ahead of Once Caldas W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Once Caldas W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto W Once Caldas W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto W 16 / 100
Once Caldas W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto W Once Caldas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Once Caldas W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Away concern: Once Caldas W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto W VS Once Caldas W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto W

(Home)
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
17 May
America de Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2
Fortaleza W
04 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
Page 1 of 6

Once Caldas W

(Away)
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Once Caldas W
11 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)