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Dep. Pereira vs Deportes Tolima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pereira host Deportes Tolima in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dep. Pereira at 0.75 goals for, 1.25 against; Deportes Tolima at 1.26 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Deportes Tolima slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.38) back Deportes Tolima to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dep. Pereira
35%
Draws
22%
Deportes Tolima
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Pereira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportes Tolima lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pereira.
  • Dep. Pereira are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 17%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Deportes Tolima
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 5 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
0:0
Oct 8, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Pereira
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 41 / 100
Deportes Tolima 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Deportes Tolima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportes Tolima conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pereira stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Dep. Pereira scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pereira VS Deportes Tolima
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pereira

(Home)
25 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
20 Oct
Dep. Pereira
2 : 0
Chico
14 Oct
Junior
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
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Deportes Tolima

(Away)
18 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Deportes Tolima
11 Oct
Jaguares de Cordoba
3 : 2
Deportes Tolima
08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0
Deportes Tolima
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 15 10 2 3 30:13 32
2 America De Cali 15 9 4 2 29:11 31
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 14 6 7 1 22:13 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 15 7 2 6 22:21 23
8 Once Caldas 16 5 6 5 20:18 21
9 Cucuta 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Deportes Tolima 15 5 5 5 18:18 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 15 4 7 4 19:20 19
12 Alianza 15 5 3 7 16:26 18
13 Inter Bogotá 16 3 8 5 18:22 17
14 Llaneros 15 5 2 8 16:20 17
15 Junior 15 3 6 6 20:23 15
16 Chico 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 15 1 9 5 16:22 12
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 14 2 4 8 16:28 10
20 Dep. Pasto 14 2 3 9 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)