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Dep. Pereira vs Ind. Medellin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Palacios H.
27'
Loboa H.
44'
Aguirre M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pereira and Ind. Medellin finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ind. Medellin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dep. Pereira
35%
Draws
41%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ind. Medellin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ind. Medellin come out ahead of Dep. Pereira on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.68 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Ind. Medellin
0:3
Feb 14, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pereira
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Ind. Medellin
1:4
May 20, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pereira
2:0
Jul 23, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Ind. Medellin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pereira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 30 / 100
Ind. Medellin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Dep. Pereira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Pereira found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pereira VS Ind. Medellin
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pereira

(Home)
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Medellin

(Away)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)