Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Santo Domingo vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2025
Dep. Santo Domingo Logo

Dep. Santo Domingo

2 - 3
FT
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Palma M.
10' Event
Villacres J.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Arboleda J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Guayaquil City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dep. Santo Domingo
28%
Draws
50%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guayaquil City haven't matched Dep. Santo Domingo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guayaquil City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Dep. Santo Domingo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guayaquil City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 25%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Santo Domingo Guayaquil City
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Guayaquil City
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboleda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mero E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 25 / 100
Guayaquil City 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Santo Domingo Guayaquil City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Guayaquil City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Dep. Santo Domingo scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Dep. Santo Domingo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS Guayaquil City
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Santo Domingo

(Home)
30 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
25 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
17 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
11 Jul
San Antonio
1 : 1
Dep. Santo Domingo
08 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 6

Guayaquil City

(Away)
27 Jul
Guayaquil City
0 : 0
U. Catolica
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
19 Jul
Guayaquil City
1 : 0
Manta
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
11 Jul
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Club Deportivo Ibarra0
San Antonio1
Manta-
TBD-
Liga De Macas2
Olmedo3
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Ecuagenera2
Cumbaya1
Aucas-
TBD-
Banos3
Huaquillas FC2
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
Luz Valdivia1
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Delfin-
TBD-
CD San Camilo0
Guayaquil City1
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Leones del Norte4
Sembrando Buenos Campeones0
Orense-
TBD-
CD Miguel Iturralde2
Patria1
Emelec-
TBD-
Gualaceo2
Mineros0
Vinotinto-
TBD-
La Troncal FC1
Imbabura2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Independiente Juniors1
LDU Portoviejo2
Macara-
TBD-
Rio Aguarico2
Club Sportivo Loja1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Atletico Vinotinto2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
La Cantera4
Montufar Futbol Club1
Libertad-
TBD-
Club Deportivo Panamericana0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Deportivo Coca0
22 de Julio3
EL Nacional-
TBD-
1/16-finals
San Antonio1
Manta0
Olmedo1
LDU Quito2
Ecuagenera0
Aucas1
Banos0
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo3
Delfin2
Guayaquil City3
Mushuc Runa1
Leones del Norte1
Orense0
CD Miguel Iturralde1
Emelec2
Gualaceo2
Vinotinto1
Imbabura0
Independiente del Valle1
LDU Portoviejo1
Macara0
Rio Aguarico0
U. Catolica1
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Barcelona SC0
La Cantera1
Libertad0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.0
22 de Julio0
EL Nacional3
1/8-finals
San Antonio0
LDU Quito4
Aucas1
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Guayaquil City3
Leones del Norte0
Emelec1
Gualaceo0
Independiente del Valle6
LDU Portoviejo1
U. Catolica3
CD Cuenca Juniors6
La Cantera1
Nueve de Octubre2
EL Nacional1
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito2
Dep. Cuenca0
Guayaquil City0
Emelec1
Independiente del Valle1
U. Catolica2
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Nueve de Octubre1
Semi-finals
LDU Quito3
Emelec2
U. Catolica4
CD Cuenca Juniors1
Final
LDU Quito2
U. Catolica3