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Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Hernandez N.
13'
Sub
Hernandez O. In: Calzadilla C.
Out: Hernandez O.
18' Event
Ramirez H.
Assist: Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Dep. Tachira and Deportivo La Guaira finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dep. Tachira
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Tachira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira haven't matched Dep. Tachira's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Tachira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Tachira Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 14
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Dep. Tachira
3:1
Mar 22, 2025 Super Cup
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Tachira 95 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Tachira Deportivo La Guaira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Tachira scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Dep. Tachira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Deportivo La Guaira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Tachira VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264