Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Merlo play Laferrere in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Merlo averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Laferrere averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Merlo won 1, Laferrere won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 2, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Dep. Merlo and 1.69 for Laferrere. This points to a Dep. Merlo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dep. Merlo
35%
Draws
32%
Laferrere
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Merlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Merlo picked up more points recently compared to Laferrere.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 13%
Laferrere Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Merlo Laferrere
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Primera B
Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
0:0
May 19, 2024 Primera B
Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguerre F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Laferrere Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 32 / 100
Laferrere 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Merlo Laferrere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dep. Merlo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Merlo attacking → ← attacking Laferrere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Merlo scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Laferrere let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dep. Merlo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Laferrere lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 38
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Excursionistas23136434:1545
2Talleres Remedios Escalada23136426:1045
3Arsenal Sarandi23128333:1744
4Villa Dalmine23127428:1343
5Deportivo Camioneros23118427:1541
6Sportivo Italiano2398623:2035
7Real Pilar2397725:2434
8Deportivo Armenio2395925:2732
9San Martin Burzaco23710623:2031
10Comunicaciones2387826:2531
11Argentino de Merlo2387821:2131
12Laferrere2387825:2931
13Dep. Merlo2387827:3531
14Dock Sud2369824:2227
15Argentino de Quilmes2369824:2527
16CSD Liniers2368916:2326
17Defensores Unidos2359919:2424
18Brown Adrogue23581016:2723
19UAI Urquiza23313712:2022
20Flandria23641318:3022
21Villa San Carlos23491024:3021
22Ituzaingo23161617:419