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Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones, Iquique
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Garrido B.
46'
Sub
Diaz C. In: Tapia B.
Out: Diaz C.
46'
Sub
Rojas D. In: Gonzalez C.
Out: Rojas D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Iquique and Antofagasta finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportes Iquique
20%
Draws
47%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Antofagasta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Antofagasta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 20%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique Antofagasta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.34 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
4:1
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta
1:1
Aug 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Antofagasta
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
4:0
May 11, 2025 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallegos Panozzo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 20 / 100
Antofagasta 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Deportes Iquique found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportes Iquique has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Antofagasta let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS Antofagasta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Iquique

(Home)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
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Antofagasta

(Away)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)