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Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs Deportes Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones, Iquique
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Cavero H.
23'
Jones T.
37'
Jones T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Iquique and Deportes Santa Cruz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportes Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Deportes Iquique
20%
Draws
10%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportes Iquique come out ahead of Deportes Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Iquique taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:1
May 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique
2:2
Oct 9, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique
1:2
May 28, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
Aug 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeineddin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 49 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique Deportes Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Iquique found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Deportes Santa Cruz conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Deportes Iquique stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Iquique

(Home)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
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Deportes Santa Cruz

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportes Temuco
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 44:39 46
4 S. Wanderers 27 12 8 7 42:30 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 39:36 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 42:37 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 24:40 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 28:42 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)