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Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Santa Cruz host Antofagasta in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Deportes Santa Cruz have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Antofagasta's 1.87 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Deportes Santa Cruz have won 2 to Antofagasta's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.56, favoring Antofagasta. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Deportes Santa Cruz
20%
Draws
73%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Deportes Santa Cruz haven't matched Antofagasta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Antofagasta a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz Antofagasta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 10 / 100
Antofagasta 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Deportes Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Antofagasta let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Deportes Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS Antofagasta
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportes Temuco
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
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Antofagasta

(Away)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)