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Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Zamorano C.
37'
Alucema G.
43' Event
Arias D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Deportes Santa Cruz
30%
Draws
31%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Copiapo lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz Copiapo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo
0:1
Sep 12, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz
4:2
Apr 26, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Espoz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 41 / 100
Copiapo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Copiapo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Deportes Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Deportes Santa Cruz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS Copiapo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

Copiapo

(Away)
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1
Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1
Copiapo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 25 12 8 5 39:29 44
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 25 5 7 13 16:42 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)