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Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Taiva B. In: Nieto B.
Out: Taiva B.
46'
Sub
Sabella A. In: Mancilla N.
Out: Sabella A.
61'
Paredes R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Deportes Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
36%
D. Puerto Montt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportes Santa Cruz haven't matched D. Puerto Montt's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Santa Cruz taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz D. Puerto Montt
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:0
Aug 4, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt
1:0
Mar 20, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:2
Sep 25, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 50 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz D. Puerto Montt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

D. Puerto Montt has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

D. Puerto Montt's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS D. Puerto Montt
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
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D. Puerto Montt

(Away)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 44:39 46
4 S. Wanderers 27 12 8 7 42:30 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 39:36 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 42:37 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 24:40 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 28:42 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)