Sport Picks

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz

4 - 1

Magallanes

Our Tip

Match Events

Arias D.

29'

Quiroz J.

29'

Pinto M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Deportes Santa Cruz

35%

Draws

40%

Magallanes

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magallanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Magallanes carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Magallanes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Magallanes, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%

Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 17%

Magallanes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportes Santa Cruz	Magallanes
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	7	11
Draws	10	7
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.1	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso

Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz

1:0

Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes

2:2

Feb 6, 2026 Copa Chile

Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz

1:2

Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes

4:1

Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pardo C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Arias D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Magallanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fredes M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 31 / 100

Magallanes 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportes Santa Cruz Magallanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magallanes Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Deportes Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS Magallanes

0.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)

27 Sept

Deportes Santa Cruz

1 : 3

O Higgins

24 Sept

O Higgins

2 : 1

Deportes Santa Cruz

14 Sept

Deportes Santa Cruz

0 : 0

Recoleta

09 Sept

Deportes Iquique

0 : 1

Deportes Santa Cruz

05 Sept

Deportes Santa Cruz

1 : 1

U. Espanola

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Magallanes

(Away)

13 Sept

Magallanes

2 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

09 Sept

Copiapo

1 : 1

Magallanes

05 Sept

Magallanes

0 : 0

San Felipe

29 Aug

S. Wanderers

2 : 1

Magallanes

22 Aug

Magallanes

1 : 0

Deportes Santa Cruz

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